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	<title>Phil Dawes Stuff: trading</title>
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		<title>Spread Betting</title>
		<description><![CDATA[
<p>Over the last few years I&#8217;ve read a number of books on stock trading but despite this I never really felt compelled to risk any of my own money on the markets.</p>
<p>Then in October I discovered that spread betting offers a cheap way to test the water on a small budget. Spread betting on markets is treated as gambling by uk laws and so there&#8217;s no stamp duty or capital gains tax to pay. Also the competition between firms is enough that pretty much all of them provide £1 per point betting on the major stocks and indices. Competition keeps the spreads narrow too - usually less than 1%.</p>

<p>Finally a lot of the firms offer a period of training where for a few weeks you can put on bets at 10 or 20p a point with guaranteed stops, which means it&#8217;s feasible to be putting £3-£6 total risk on each trade, especially for stocks priced under 500p.</p>
<p>I got started with <a href="http://www.igindex.co.uk/">IGIndex</a>, which provides an impressive range of uk stocks including all of the ftse 100 and 250. The online web software is really very good: the trading platform is totally ajax using yahoo YUI libraries. Unfortunately the charting stuff is a java applet, but that appears to be par for the course with spread betting platforms.</p>
<p>I funded the account with £100 of risk capital and started betting. As an employee of an investment bank I need to get clearance for each stock from our compliance dept, but this turned out to be not as onerous as it sounds. Anyway, I had the misfortune of my first trade in october winning big: a £6 short bet on the ftse100 index at 10p a point. I trailed a stop and made £30 before the trade was stopped out. 30% appreciation in capital in one trade! </p>
<p>Of course this was pure fluke but it made me over confident and I quickly lost almost everything over the next 3 weeks: I got down from £130 to about £35. This was exactly what I needed: in my opinion you want to lose big during the training period when your capital exposure is small. During this first month I learnt a bunch of things:</p>
<ul>
<li>Money management and risk management are really important!
<p>I suspect this is more important than stock picking skills. Trading is a probabilistic thing and so you have to expect to lose a (maybe large) percentage of trades. For example I currently get stopped out on approximately two thirds of my trades. Apportioning risk capital between trades and using calculated stops ensures that a run of bad trades doesn&#8217;t destroy your capital account and allows you to stop and re-consider.</p>
</li>
<li>I was confusing short term oscillations with trends
<p>I did this quite a bit in the first few trades, and the lesson is: always look at longer term graphs for overall patterns. My trades usually last a couple of weeks when they don&#8217;t get stopped out. This means I need to look at charts over a year to check for trends.</p>
</li>
<li>Plan the trade, trade the plan
<p>I&#8217;ve discovered that trading can be a stressful affair and it&#8217;s easy to make silly mistakes in front of the 5 minute charts. I suspect this is because for a beginner like me there&#8217;s a big perception of time pressure, and also because you&#8217;re always in a position to do something with your stocks which makes it difficult look away.</p>
<p>To mitigate the background stress and the opportunity for mistakes I&#8217;ve found it much better to make plans when the markets are closed (e.g. in the evening or weekend) and not in my lunch break. This is one reason I prefer to trade uk stocks which trade during the day rather than e.g. forex or commodities which are trading all the time.</p>
<p>For the stocks I have open at a point in time I make notes about what I expect to happen and what to do if it does or doesn&#8217;t happen. IG index offers an SMS alert service which I use to alert me of price breaks. The alerts and the written plan keep me from worrying about my stocks while I&#8217;m working.</p>
</li>
<li>record everything
<p>This is super important! I keep a spreadsheet of trades, a diary of notes about each entry/exit and screenshots of the intraday charts. This was especially important during the early weeks as I was able to learn from the many beginner mistakes I made. A couple of months later and I&#8217;m still making plenty of mistakes that I can learn from and I don&#8217;t expect that to change any time soon.</p>
</li>
</ul>
<p>I&#8217;m out of the training period at IGIndex now and so am betting £1 a point on uk stocks and I&#8217;m currently apportioning a maximum risk of £20 per trade. I&#8217;m starting to become more consistent and confident but I&#8217;m wary that it&#8217;s difficult to tell at this early stage whether this is more luck or skill. If you&#8217;re thinking about trying your hand at trading I&#8217;d definitely recommend spread betting as a first step before committing any real money to the markets.</p>]]></description>
		<link>http://phildawes.net/blog/2008/12/12/spread-betting/</link>
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